Xai Predictions & Odds· 133 markets
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$119 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
76%
25%+
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
55%
April 30
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$16.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$212k today
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$16.0m Vol.🔥$212k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$136k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$136k today$128k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$381k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$381k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.0m Vol.$113k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$404k Vol.
$65k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$404k Vol.$65k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
96%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$74k Liq.
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$544k Vol.$74k Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$450k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$450k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$625k Vol.
$103k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$625k Vol.$103k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$526k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$104k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$104k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$75k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%