AI Development 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k 交易量
$5k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

45%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

31%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$12k 流动性
102
9 个月后结束

20%

Yes

U
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$2.5m 交易量
$198k 流动性
🔥$60k 今日
54
9 个月后结束

91%

$100M

W
Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

$789k 交易量
$17k 流动性
40
已结束

93%

December 31, 2026

W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$71k 交易量
$18k 流动性
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
13
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$856k 交易量
$154k 流动性
28 天后结束

90%

Anthropic

W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$2k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$15k 交易量
$61k 流动性
28 天后结束

85%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$114k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

37%

Necklace

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$61k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$4k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$9k 交易量
$42k 流动性
28 天后结束

52%

Google