AI Development 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

5%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束

31%

Yes

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$9k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

44%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

33%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$13k 流动性
102
9 个月后结束

20%

Yes

U
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$2.5m 交易量
$201k 流动性
🔥$60k 今日
54
9 个月后结束

92%

$100M

W
Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?

$789k 交易量
$16k 流动性
40
已结束

93%

April 30, 2026

W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$71k 交易量
$27k 流动性
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$4k 流动性
13
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$856k 交易量
$159k 流动性
27 天后结束

90%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$3.2m 交易量
$606k 流动性
🔥$331k 今日
27 天后结束

95%

Anthropic

W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$114k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

37%

Necklace

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$15k 交易量
$74k 流动性
27 天后结束

85%

Anthropic

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$1k 交易量
$9k 流动性
7 天后结束

6%

Yes

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$71k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI