AI Technology 预测与赔率· 127 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

42%

Yes

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$13k 交易量
$36k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$21k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

21%

December 31, 2026

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$7k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

39%

Google

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 8 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m 交易量
$55k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

28%

OpenAI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$170k 流动性
20
大约 8 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

25%

Yes

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

40%

Head-mounted display

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m 交易量
$114k 流动性
1
大约 8 小时后结束

99%

Anthropic

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$544k 交易量
$76k 流动性
2
大约 8 小时后结束

98%

Anthropic

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

16%

Yes

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$33k 交易量
$16k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k 交易量
$154k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

49%

Anthropic