Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 310 个市场

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
30 天后结束

17%

Yes

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$25k 流动性
81
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$860 流动性
9 个月后结束

61%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

44%

Yes

O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

W
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$495k 交易量
$61k 流动性
4
已结束

100%

OpenAI

A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

28%

Yes

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$13k 交易量
$50k 流动性
30 天后结束

82%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$803k 交易量
$124k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

86%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$7k 交易量
$23k 流动性
30 天后结束

39%

Google

T
Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$106k 交易量
$23k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

26%

June 30

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

7%

Yes

W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

$23k 交易量
$43k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5 天后结束

79%

Happy Easter