Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 310 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

19%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$22k 流动性
79
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

61%

Yes

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$3k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$10k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$488k 交易量
$61k 流动性
3
大约 11 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$12k 交易量
$47k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$801k 交易量
$112k 流动性
🔥$159k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束

83%

Anthropic

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$7k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

Google

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$105k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

28%

June 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

3%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

$23k 交易量
$72k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5 天后结束

74%

Congresswoman