Artificial General Intelligence 预测与赔率· 101 个市场
22%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
42%
Yes
45%
Yes
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束
$27k 交易量$1k 流动性49 个月后结束
29%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
$100k 交易量$5k 流动性13 个月后结束
27%
Yes
70%
June 30
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m 交易量
$51k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束
$1.4m 交易量$51k 流动性253 个月后结束
28%
OpenAI
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
$489k 交易量
$58k 流动性
3
大约 6 小时后结束
$489k 交易量$58k 流动性3大约 6 小时后结束
100%
OpenAI
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m 交易量
$114k 流动性
1
大约 6 小时后结束
$1.0m 交易量$114k 流动性1大约 6 小时后结束
99%
Anthropic
17%
Yes
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k 交易量
$103k 流动性
52
3 个月后结束
$333k 交易量$103k 流动性523 个月后结束
50%
Anthropic
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k 交易量
$163k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束
$475k 交易量$163k 流动性223 个月后结束
49%
Anthropic