Climate Change 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

M
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$44k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
已结束

96%

14.2-14.4m sq km

M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$29k 交易量
$5k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

32%

<4m sq km

T
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$61k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

9%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$535k 交易量
$16k 流动性
🔥$131k 今日
167

14%

Yes

W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

$30k 交易量
$57k 流动性
29 天后结束

85%

↑ $3.00

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$279k 交易量
$20k 流动性
8 天后结束

99%

4th or lower

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$126k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

46%

2

W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

$64k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

62%

↓ 0.40

W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$599k 交易量
$38k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

16%

↑ $3

W
What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束

MAGA / Make America Great Again

W
What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

$789k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
已结束

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act

W
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

$286k 交易量
$0 流动性
47
已结束

CIA

W
What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

$398k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

W
What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

$19k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Michigan

W
What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

$31k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Delta

S
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

Yes

G
Global Heat Increase 2024

Global Temp · Science

Global Heat Increase 2024

$14.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
133
已结束

1.28-1.30

S
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Global Temp · Science

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$2.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
87
已结束

1.23-1.28

W
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

$152k 交易量
$0 流动性
20
已结束

September 15

J
June 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · climate & weather

June 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$199k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束

1.16-1.22