Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 106 个市场
U
5%
Yes
P
94%
$40 trillion
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束
$9k 交易量$3k 流动性59 个月后结束
28%
Yes
E
27%
Yes
A
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$414 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
$414 交易量$2k 流动性19 个月后结束
62%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
$102k 交易量$9k 流动性23 个月后结束
5%
Yes
N
41%
Yes
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k 交易量
$18k 流动性
🔥$121k 今日
173
$540k 交易量🔥$121k 今日$18k 流动性173
15%
Yes
W
28%
↑ 10 ETH
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k 交易量
$25k 流动性
11
7 个月后结束
$254k 交易量$25k 流动性117 个月后结束
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
36%
160-179
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k 交易量
$32k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
$132k 交易量$32k 流动性23 个月后结束
11%
Yes
W
17%
Dong Jun
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m 交易量
$407k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$3.5m 交易量$407k 流动性9 个月后结束
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM