Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k 交易量

$24k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k 交易量

$21k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

93%

$40 trillion

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k 交易量

$9k 流动性

4

9 个月后结束

36%

Yes

World · Economy

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

$749 交易量

$215 流动性

2

9 个月后结束

32%

Yes

Politics · Economy

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

$414 交易量

$1k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

61%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量

$5k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$441k 交易量

$28k 流动性

3

9 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量

$116k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量

$94k 流动性

23

29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量

$136k 流动性

4 个月后结束

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k 交易量

$14k 流动性

68

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Crypto·nft

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

$3k 交易量

$1k 流动性

5

9 个月后结束

31%

↑ 10 ETH

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$294k 交易量

$11k 流动性

已结束

75%

Nothing

Crypto·Crypto Prices

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$100k 交易量

$30k 流动性

1 天后结束

4%

↓ 0.08

Politics·Midterms

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k 交易量

$20k 流动性

11

7 个月后结束

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Crypto·Crypto Prices

What price will Hyperliquid hit in March?

$559k 交易量

$57k 流动性

1

1 天后结束

3%

↑ 44

Finance·Big Tech

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$104k 交易量

$25k 流动性

已结束

100%

Gold

Finance·Hit Price

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

$1k 交易量

$2k 流动性

1 天后结束

43%

↑ 3000

Finance·Monthly

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

$23k 交易量

$940 流动性

1 天后结束

27%

↓ 17800

Culture · Politics

Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?

$3k 交易量

$2k 流动性

2

已结束

3%

Yes

Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

Nothing Ever Happens: March

What price will Ethena hit in March?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?

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