Fivethityeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$44k 交易量
$17k 流动性
5 天后结束

50%

1

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

$59k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11
1 天后结束

1%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$94k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

68%

8+

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5 天后结束

76%

Happy Easter

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

$0 交易量
$3 流动性
大约 2 小时后结束

51%

Up

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$43k 交易量
$62k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

100%

Commander-in-Chief

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

$5 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

51%

Up

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

S&P 500 · Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$19k 交易量
$22k 流动性
3 个月后结束

86%

↓ $6,300

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

$9 交易量
$4 流动性
已结束

45%

Up

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m 交易量
$442k 流动性
257
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

$3k 交易量
$10k 流动性
10 天后结束

87%

Dollar 5+ times

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on March 31?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on March 31?

$0 交易量
$451 流动性
1 天后结束

49%

Up

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8
大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$3k 交易量
$10k 流动性
5 天后结束

88%

Sunday

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

29%

Yes

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$596k 交易量
$35k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

16%

↑ $4

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

$24k 交易量
$10k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes