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Fivethityeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

全部SportsPoliticsCryptoSpaceXScienceWeatherHurricanesClimateFinanceTrumpAirdropsFdvMrBeastYouTubeSam AltmanEPLManchester UnitedOilNasaAINatural DisastersOpenAICultureStocksInternetSpaceTechEarthquakeMentionsSoccerCommoditiesNatural DisasterBig TechUp Or DownFeaturedMonthlyAstroidDailyMegaETHPre MarketEquitiesIndiciesSPXS&P 500ClimaClimate & ScienceEarthquakesDaily CloseManuManchesterNatural GasFinance UpdownEquity Daily PythSPYS&P
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes

W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$117k 交易量
$10k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$110k 交易量
$33k 流动性
3 天后结束

66%

2

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

$0 交易量
$80 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

51%

Up

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$62k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

82%

8+

W
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

manchester united · manchester

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

$91k 交易量
$21k 流动性
14
大约 2 个月后结束

6%

Yes

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

$437 交易量
$111 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$18k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 天后结束

97%

Terrorist

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

$456 交易量
$166 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

$93 交易量
$168 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

$153 交易量
$709 流动性
已结束

99%

Up

W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

Finance·S&P 500

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$25k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3 个月后结束

76%

↓ $6,300

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

$13 交易量
$84 流动性
已结束

93%

Up

W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?

Finance·Commodities

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?

$283 交易量
$69 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

89%

Up

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m 交易量
$430k 流动性
🔥$187k 今日
258
3 个月后结束

60%

>$600M

W
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

Culture·YouTube

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

$10k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3
8 天后结束

85%

Dollar 5+ times

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

11%

Yes

S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?

$146 交易量
$53 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

35%

Up

W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$27k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束

40%

Eight Boats / Eight Ships