Gpt 4 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$359k 交易量
$35k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4

92%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1000 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$991 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束

2%

Yes

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
大约 5 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

19%

Yes

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

44%

1

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$894k 交易量
$23k 流动性
15 天后结束

54%

April 15

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k 交易量
$9k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

17%

Yes

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

$3k 交易量
$889 流动性
大约 18 小时后结束

77%

Yes

Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

$427 交易量
$287 流动性
大约 24 小时后结束

27%

Atputies

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.1m 交易量
$136k 流动性
19
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Game Hunters

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

$0 交易量
$5 流动性
已结束
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes