Gpt 4 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
82%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$474 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$474 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$946 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$946 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
8%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
50%
June 30
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
52%
April 15
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
76%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$220 Vol.
$187 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$220 Vol.$187 Liq.Ends in 1 day
33%
Atputies
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.1m Vol.
$135k Liq.
18
Ends in about 2 months
$1.1m Vol.$135k Liq.18Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Game Hunters
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$5 Liq.Ended
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes