Gpt 4pt5 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$14k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$26k 交易量
$7k 流动性
16 天后结束

63%

April 17

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 天后结束

9%

Yes

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k 交易量
$115k 流动性
53
3 个月后结束

49%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k 交易量
$31k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

42%

None in 2026

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

54%

Yes

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$361k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$18k 流动性
5

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$983 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
796
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$384k 流动性
64
3 个月后结束

60%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

33%

December 31, 2026

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$482k 交易量
$178k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

E
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.1m 交易量
$142k 流动性
20
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$65k 交易量
$15k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

50%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$675k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

C
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$289k 交易量
$12k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

20%

June 30, 2026