Gpt 4pt5 预测与赔率· 115 个市场

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$30k 交易量
$7k 流动性
14 天后结束

65%

April 17

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$335k 交易量
$110k 流动性
53
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$9k 流动性
7 天后结束

6%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

77%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$10k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k 交易量
$30k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

41%

None in 2026

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k 交易量
$19k 流动性
40
已结束

83%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$19k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

41%

60%+

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$811 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

49%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
795
4 个月后结束

85%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$377k 流动性
65
3 个月后结束

64%

Anthropic

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k 交易量
$183k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

31%

Yes

E
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.6m 交易量
$126k 流动性
18
大约 2 个月后结束

100%

Arsenal

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

67%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$16k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

C
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Skele

C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 交易量
$413 流动性
1 天后结束

57%

Rune Eaters

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k 交易量
$5k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

13%

Yes