Gpt 5 预测与赔率· 166 个市场

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k 交易量
$23k 流动性
40
已结束

83%

December 31, 2026

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m 交易量
$378k 流动性
65
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k 交易量
$176k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

51%

Anthropic

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

77%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k 交易量
$2k 流动性
31
已结束

31%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$22k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$880 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

49%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

41%

60%+

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k 交易量
$5k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

13%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束

6%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$29k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15 天后结束

66%

April 17

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m 交易量
$56k 流动性
163
28 天后结束

56%

June 30, 2026

G
GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$278k 交易量
$0 流动性
24
已结束

February 28

G
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

$35k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束

December 31

G
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

$76k 交易量
$0 流动性
30
已结束

No

W
What day will GPT-5 be released…?

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

$2.8m 交易量
$0 流动性
330
已结束

August 7

G
GPT-5 released by…?

GPT-5 released by…?

$7.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
1,022
已结束

December 31

N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束

Yes

W
What will be said during OpenAI livestream on August 7?

What will be said during OpenAI livestream on August 7?

$65k 交易量
$0 流动性
55
已结束

GPT 15+