Humanitarian Pause 预测与赔率· 183 个市场

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$81.6m 交易量
$2.5m 流动性
🔥$6.7m 今日
1,412

73%

December 31

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$101k 交易量
$18k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

23%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$28k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$432k 交易量
$34k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束

41%

June 30

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$77k 交易量
$21k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k 交易量
$59k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

23%

Leadership Change

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$366k 流动性
🔥$410k 今日
27 天后结束

2%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.4m 交易量
$496k 流动性
🔥$261k 今日
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$490k 流动性
🔥$74k 今日
5,430
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

$14k 交易量
$142k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

5%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

$3k 交易量
$94k 流动性
大约 1 年后结束

39%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

$3k 交易量
$120k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

51%

Yes

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$189k 交易量
$25k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

$134k 交易量
$12k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束

33%

Yes

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

$70k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

8%

Yes

S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$61k 交易量
$13k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

32%

December 31, 2026

Q
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

$17k 交易量
$46k 流动性
27 天后结束

8%

Yes

W
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

$53k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
已结束

Yes

U
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束

No