Open Source Intel 预测与赔率· 967 个市场

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

$776k 交易量
$52k 流动性
🔥$76k 今日
1
4 天后结束

97%

6-9

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

$2.9m 交易量
$89k 流动性
50
9 个月后结束

38%

December 31

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$27k 流动性
60
已结束

23%

December 31

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.2m 交易量
$52k 流动性
162
9 个月后结束

24%

December 31

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$32k 流动性
44
已结束

22%

December 31

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

26%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4

94%

June 30

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$5k 流动性
17 天后结束

60%

April 17

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

37%

December 31, 2026

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$46k 交易量
$16k 流动性
5 天后结束

52%

1

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

$1.1m 交易量
$22k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

39%

December 31, 2026

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
超过 1 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$359k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
81
9 个月后结束

22%

December 31, 2026

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

$23k 交易量
$42k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes