Openai 预测与赔率· 167 个市场

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$4k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

38%

Head-mounted display

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$890 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

44%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

26%

Yes

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

$11k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
将近 2 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$951 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$932 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
将近 2 年后结束

67%

$800B

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5m 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

63%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$16.0m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
🔥$213k 今日
1
大约 5 小时后结束

100%

Anthropic

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m 交易量
$385k 流动性
64
3 个月后结束

65%

Anthropic

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m 交易量
$111k 流动性
1
大约 5 小时后结束

99%

Anthropic