Public Policy 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

$415k 交易量
$9k 流动性
25
大约 9 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$212k 交易量
$14k 流动性
61
3 个月后结束

8%

Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$874k 交易量
$76k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

28%

December 31

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m 交易量
$30k 流动性
155
3 个月后结束

24%

June 30, 2026

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$482k 交易量
$10k 流动性
40
大约 1 个月后结束

19%

April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$232k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10
大约 1 个月后结束

8%

April 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k 交易量
$18k 流动性
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k 交易量
$2k 流动性
13
已结束

4%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k 交易量
$32k 流动性
4 天后结束

41%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$150k 交易量
$20k 流动性
1 天后结束

68%

160-179

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$699k 交易量
$26k 流动性
94
大约 9 小时后结束

83%

April 30

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k 交易量
$4k 流动性
27

37%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m 交易量
$440k 流动性
254
3 个月后结束

43%

>$600M

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$37k 交易量
$23k 流动性
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k 交易量
$21k 流动性
8
大约 9 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

$55k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$112k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Crypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

$7k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

86%

50