Public Policy 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

$415k 交易量
$9k 流动性
25
大约 4 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$212k 交易量
$14k 流动性
62
3 个月后结束

7%

Yes

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m 交易量
$26k 流动性
156
3 个月后结束

24%

June 30, 2026

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$874k 交易量
$75k 流动性
1
大约 4 小时后结束

29%

December 31

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$483k 交易量
$10k 流动性
40
大约 1 个月后结束

19%

April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$233k 交易量
$13k 流动性
10
大约 1 个月后结束

8%

April 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束

33%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k 交易量
$15k 流动性
63

13%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

45%

Yes

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k 交易量
$2k 流动性
14
已结束

4%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4 天后结束

43%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$155k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 20 小时后结束

79%

160-179

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$707k 交易量
$19k 流动性
94
大约 4 小时后结束

94%

April 30

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$433k 交易量
$4k 流动性
28

37%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m 交易量
$437k 流动性
257
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$37k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k 交易量
$20k 流动性
8
大约 4 小时后结束

1%

Yes

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

$55k 交易量
$11k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$113k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Crypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

$7k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

86%

50