Roll 预测与赔率· 137 个市场

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m 交易量
$55k 流动性
🔥$205k 今日
大约 7 小时后结束

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$328k 交易量
$62k 流动性
🔥$154k 今日
3 天后结束

82%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m 交易量
$63k 流动性
🔥$87k 今日
101
大约 1 个月后结束

22%

Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

$444k 交易量
$43k 流动性
已结束

53%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$608k 交易量
$45k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

3%

20+

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$81k 交易量
$56k 流动性
1
大约 7 小时后结束

9%

Jacky Rosen

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k 交易量
$73k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

36%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k 交易量
$34k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

64%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

$24k 交易量
$15k 流动性
已结束

49%

25-29

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4 天后结束

92%

March 30

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$893k 交易量
$26k 流动性
15 天后结束

56%

April 15

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$83k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

75%

June 30, 2026

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$809k 交易量
$100k 流动性
49
3 个月后结束

44%

June 30

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?

$40k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

76%

April 30

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$20k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$18k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$14k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$23k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$41k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
大约 7 小时后结束

2%

Yes