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US Bank 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

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A
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$104k 交易量
$8k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

U
US bank failure by April 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by April 30?

$8k 交易量
$4k 流动性
30 天后结束

25%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m 交易量
$185k 流动性
🔥$63k 今日
1
已结束

98%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$186k 交易量
$151k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

99%

Bahrain

W
Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
已结束

40%

↑3.72%

W
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$353k 交易量
$10k 流动性
1
已结束

2%

Yes

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$136k 交易量
$102k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

65%

Stefan Brodie

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$357k 交易量
$101k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

3%

Deutsche Bank

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$136k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

Politics·Trump

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k 交易量
$14k 流动性
9 个月后结束

34%

60+

U
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

Games · Sports

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Politics·Congress

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3 个月后结束

93%

Kevin Cramer

U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$926k 交易量
$84k 流动性
52
10 个月后结束

36%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量
$88k 流动性
23
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economy·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k 交易量
$8k 流动性
11 个月后结束

34%

800–900B

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

Economy·Trump

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 交易量
$559 流动性
20
3 个月后结束

36%

Yes

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

36%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Geopolitics·Trump

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$35k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

48%

US x Iran Ceasefire