US Bank Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Another US bank failure by March 31?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
US bank failure by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$190k Liq.
🔥$209k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$209k today$190k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Bahrain
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$167k Vol.
$191k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$167k Vol.$191k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Will SOFR hit __ in March?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
56%
↑3.72%
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$351k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$134k Vol.
$132k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$134k Vol.$132k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
64%
Stefan Brodie
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$97k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$97k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
2%
Scotiabank
77%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Games · Sports
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$72k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$72k Liq.49Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
34%
800–900B
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$589 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$589 Liq.15Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$8k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$8k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire