US Bank Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$104k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

26%

Yes

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m Vol.
$191k Liq.
🔥$69k today
1
Ended

97%

Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$180k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

99%

Bahrain

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

41%

↑3.72%

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$353k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$136k Vol.
$128k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

65%

Stefan Brodie

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$357k Vol.
$102k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

3%

Citigroup

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

35%

60+

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

Games · Sports

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$117k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

94%

Kevin Cramer

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$923k Vol.
$77k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months

38%

Yes

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$102k Liq.
22
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$587 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

39%

Yes

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

36%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

44%

US x Iran Ceasefire

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes