Rate Predictions & Odds· 429 markets

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?
$22k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$22k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
75%
↑ 1.6M

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
$368k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$368k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
14%
↑ 1.6M

96%
No change

Will SOFR hit __ in March?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
50%
↑3.72%

Bank of Canada decision in June?
$721 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$721 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 2 months
65%
No change

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$116k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$116k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Yes

42%
Yes

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<1600.00

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
53%
1600.00+

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$377k Liq.
🔥$500k today
5
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$500k today$377k Liq.5Ends in 8 months
33%
3.75%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.6m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$286k today
54
Ends in 9 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$286k today$1.3m Liq.54Ends in 9 months
39%
0 (0 bps)

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$52k Liq.
28
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.2m Vol.$52k Liq.28Ends in about 16 hours
97%
5–15%

25%
Yes

63%
December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

29%
4.4%

Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 4 days
95%
80–85
