Jobs Report Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
28%
50k – 100k
29%
4.5%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
10%
Up
78%
Up
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 16 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
32%
7.0%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Yes
8%
Yes
34%
800–900B
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 6 days
82%
Sunday
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$51k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$51k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$31k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$31k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 16 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$149k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$149k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 1 day
64%
160-179
What will Trump say in April?
$13k Vol.
$35k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$35k Liq.9Ends in about 1 month
90%
Operation Epic Fury
4%
Finish the Job
US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$92k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$92k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30