Secured Overnight Financing Rate Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

50%

↑3.72%

Bank of Canada decision in June?

Bank of Canada decision in June?

$721 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

65%

No change

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 Vol.
$34 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No change

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$102k Liq.
17
Ends in 30 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on March 30?

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on March 30?

$0 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

49%

Up

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on March 30?

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on March 30?

$2 Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

51%

Up

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 30?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 30?

$12 Vol.
$245 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

49%

Up

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$26k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

78%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?

$21k Vol.
$10 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

51%

Up

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on March 30?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on March 30?

$0 Vol.
$9 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

50%

Up

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 30?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 30?

$16 Vol.
$222 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

49%

Up

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

$59k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 2 days

1%

Yes

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 30?

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 30?

$10 Vol.
$189 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

51%

Up

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

35%

60+

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 30?

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 30?

$91 Vol.
$180 Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

58%

Up

HYPE Up or Down - April 1, 2AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - April 1, 2AM ET

$0 Vol.
$342 Liq.
Ends in 2 days

50%

Up

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.3m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$169k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change