2024 Nomination Predictions & Odds· 248 markets
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$946.8m Vol.
$39.0m Liq.
🔥$10.4m today
629
Ends in over 2 years
$946.8m Vol.🔥$10.4m today$39.0m Liq.629Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$498.7m Vol.
$27.6m Liq.
🔥$6.8m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$498.7m Vol.🔥$6.8m today$27.6m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
$177 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$177 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
24%
Yes
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
14%
Yes
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$863k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$863k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
55%
Mojtaba Khamenei
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$846k Vol.
$90k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$846k Vol.$90k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$108k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$108k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
H
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$82k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$82k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
40–43
W
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
H
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 5 months
32%
24–27
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$187k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$187k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
60+
N
85%
Ritchie Torres
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$24k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$436k Vol.$24k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
52%
May 15
K
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$128k Vol.
$52k Liq.
29
Ends in about 2 months
$128k Vol.$52k Liq.29Ends in about 2 months
64%
Thomas Massie
G
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$6k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$6k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$333k Vol.
$557k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$333k Vol.$557k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
S
41%
Alex Pelbath