538 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$767k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years

59%

Democratic

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

42%

60-79

W
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

$645k Vol.
$19k Liq.
324
Ended

89%

April 30

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$668 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

48%

60-79

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

4%

Yes

P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$476.9m Vol.
$28.6m Liq.
🔥$5.2m today
804
Ends in over 2 years

18%

JD Vance

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

87%

60-79

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

18%

Yes

W
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$105k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

100%

Gold

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$773 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

45%

160-179

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

68%

Not revealed in 2026

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$401k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

C
CA-28 House Election Winner

CA-28 House Election Winner

$56k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

87%

Democratic Party

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$380k Vol.
$15k Liq.
70

9%

Isfahan nuclear facility

T
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

41%

100-119

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

49%

June 30

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

9%

Yes

W
What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$107k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in about 21 hours

1%

↓ 0.08