Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Yes
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$203k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$203k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$45k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$19k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$19k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
36%
Leadership Change
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
April 1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$46k Vol.
$61k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$61k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$26k Vol.
$216k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$26k Vol.$216k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
Military action through April 30
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$173k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$173k today$19k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$507k Liq.
🔥$303k today
326
Ends in about 7 hours
$8.7m Vol.🔥$303k today$507k Liq.326Ends in about 7 hours
78%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,262
$63.7m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,262
72%
December 31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$908k Vol.
$19k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$908k Vol.$19k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$29k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 25
22%
June 30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$13k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$13k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$252k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$252k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$167k Vol.
$189k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$167k Vol.$189k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain