Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
63%
Yes
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$203k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$203k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
April 1
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$201k today
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$201k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
95%
March 27
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$25k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$128k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
Military action through April 30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$505k Liq.
🔥$273k today
329
Ends in about 8 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$273k today$505k Liq.329Ends in about 8 hours
78%
December 31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$908k Vol.
$15k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$908k Vol.$15k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
22%
June 30
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$28k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 25
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$251k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$251k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$165k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$165k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$447k Vol.
$30k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$30k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes