Aid Package Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
20%
June 30
45%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
89%
April 30
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$549 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$549 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
85%
TSA
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 15 days
50%
April 15
11%
December 31, 2026
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$563 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$563 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
41%
<15 minutes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes