American Politics Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$49k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$49k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
$70k Vol.
$77k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in 5 months
$70k Vol.🔥$52k today$77k Liq.Ends in 5 months
97%
Yes
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
24
Ended
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.24Ended
4%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$9k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
17%
Yes
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$824k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$824k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
60%
Democratic
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$556k Liq.
148
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$556k Liq.148Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$542k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$121k today
176
$542k Vol.🔥$121k today$15k Liq.176
19%
Yes
R
27%
≤47
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$376k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$376k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$109k Liq.
5
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$109k Liq.5Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$11k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
160-179
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$966.3m Vol.
$39.3m Liq.
🔥$7.8m today
630
Ends in over 2 years
$966.3m Vol.🔥$7.8m today$39.3m Liq.630Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
A
61%
Republican Party
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$483.8m Vol.
$29.0m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
809
Ends in over 2 years
$483.8m Vol.🔥$2.3m today$29.0m Liq.809Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance