Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 168 markets
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$912k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$912k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
77%
600B+
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
45%
None in 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
82%
April 15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
14%
Yes
3%
Yes
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$68k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$68k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
75%
June 30, 2026
21%
December 31, 2026
50%
June 30
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$250k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$250k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$102k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$102k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$62k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$62k today$55k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
IPOs before 2027?
$5.2m Vol.
$161k Liq.
🔥$56k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$56k today$161k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
93%
SpaceX