Approval Rating Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
T
42%
39.5–39.9
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$43k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$43k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
36%
35%
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
12%
↑ 46%
S
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$488 Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 27 days
$488 Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 27 days
43%
Up
"
99%
72+
C
65%
April 17
"
0%
56+
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
E
World · Economy
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$824 Vol.
$237 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$824 Vol.$237 Liq.2Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$28k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$28k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
53%
Delcy / Rodriguez
"
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score?
$22k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$22k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 days
18%
45+
A
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$414 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$414 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
62%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$11k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
160-179
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
18%
Yes
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes