Arrest Predictions & Odds· 163 markets
W
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
W
Who will Sabrina Carpenter arrest at Coachella?
$0 Vol.
$366 Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$0 Vol.$366 Liq.Ends in 30 days
42%
Young Thug
E
0%
Yes
G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
59%
Yes
J
6%
Yes
N
0%
Yes
J
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$145k Vol.
$8k Liq.
33
Ended
$145k Vol.$8k Liq.33Ended
0%
Yes
L
0%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
Y
0%
Yes
S
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$309k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
N
15%
Yes
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
T
Trove founder arrested by March 31?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in about 23 hours
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in about 23 hours
0%
Yes
L
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
C
21%
Yes