Asteroid Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
43%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
45%
Yes
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$436k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$436k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$237k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
$237k Vol.$0 Liq.9Ended
No
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
$78k Vol.$0 Liq.11Ended
Yes
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$85k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
The Wizard of Oz at Sphere
"Not Like Us" – Kendrick Lamar
Science · outer space
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?
$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes
Science · Boeing
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.8Ended
No
<$1b / No token in 2024