Asteroid Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
43%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
46%
Yes
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
41%
April 30
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$450k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$450k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$237k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
$237k Vol.$0 Liq.9Ended
No
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
$78k Vol.$0 Liq.11Ended
Yes
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$85k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
The Wizard of Oz at Sphere
"Not Like Us" – Kendrick Lamar
Science · outer space
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?
$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes
Science · Boeing
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.8Ended
No
<$1b / No token in 2024