Attack Predictions & Odds· 409 markets

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

2%

Yes

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$141k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

Nothing

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$1.9m Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$347k today
1
Ends in about 13 hours

96%

March 27

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$308k today
Ends in about 13 hours

95%

Bahrain

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.6m Vol.
$423k Liq.
🔥$290k today
324
Ends in about 13 hours

78%

December 31

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

$89k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

38%

Al Zour Refinery

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$163k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

98%

Bahrain

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$39k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

30%

April 30

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$596k Vol.
$15k Liq.
131
Ends in about 13 hours

4%

Yes

What will Iran strike by March 31?

What will Iran strike by March 31?

$471k Vol.
$86k Liq.

7%

Al Zour Refinery

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

28%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$61k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

98%

March 28

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$15k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

59%

<2

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

2%

Yes

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month

73%

Yes

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$81k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month

60%

April 30

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

11%

Yes