Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 142 markets
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$332k Liq.
🔥$205k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$205k today$332k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$79k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days
$765k Vol.$79k Liq.62Ends in 27 days
10%
June 30
W
87%
Mar-a-Lago
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$252 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$252 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 27 days
75%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$961k Liq.
🔥$66k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$66k today$961k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
<5
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$55k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$55k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
20-24
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$823k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$52k today
122
Ends in 27 days
$823k Vol.🔥$52k today$40k Liq.122Ends in 27 days
32%
May 31
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
82%
<20
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$893k Vol.
$115k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$893k Vol.$115k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$23k Vol.
$284k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$23k Vol.$284k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.2m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.4m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$57k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$410k Liq.
🔥$271k today
20
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$271k today$410k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$804k today
12
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$804k today$1.6m Liq.12Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$271k Vol.
$48k Liq.
6
Ends in 27 days
$271k Vol.$48k Liq.6Ends in 27 days
14%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$20k Liq.173
17%
Yes