Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 142 markets
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$211k today
892
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$211k today$298k Liq.892Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$82k Liq.
62
Ends in 28 days
$765k Vol.$82k Liq.62Ends in 28 days
10%
June 30
W
84%
Disgusting
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$252 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$252 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$947k Liq.
🔥$76k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$76k today$947k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$604 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$604 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$58k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$58k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
24%
15-19
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$822k Vol.
$39k Liq.
🔥$51k today
122
Ends in 28 days
$822k Vol.🔥$51k today$39k Liq.122Ends in 28 days
34%
May 31
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 1 day
85%
<20
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$893k Vol.
$117k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$893k Vol.$117k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$22k Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$22k Vol.$223k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
1
Ends in 28 days
$18.1m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$1.6m Liq.1Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$340k Liq.
🔥$280k today
19
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$280k today$340k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$820k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$820k today$1.4m Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$270k Vol.
$41k Liq.
6
Ends in 28 days
$270k Vol.$41k Liq.6Ends in 28 days
14%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$538k Vol.
$12k Liq.
🔥$127k today
172
$538k Vol.🔥$127k today$12k Liq.172
22%
Yes