Banks Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
$160k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in about 13 hours
$160k Vol.$6k Liq.7Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$354k Vol.
$93k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$354k Vol.$93k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$96k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$96k Liq.16Ends in almost 2 years
42%
Bank of America
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
No change
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes
US bank failure by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Another US bank failure by March 31?
$102k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$102k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes
71%
25 bps Increase
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
61%
June 30
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
60%
No Change
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
47%
Yes
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
1%
↓ 500
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes