Borders Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$92k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes

30%
December 31, 2026

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$40k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$40k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes

Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

45%
Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 7 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.146Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$965 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$965 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$443k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$443k Liq.256Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 10

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$665 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$665 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 39000

Will US annex any territory in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes

