Business Predictions & Odds· 875 markets

Will PMF or Die build a $1m business in 90 days?

Will PMF or Die build a $1m business in 90 days?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended

No

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

Business · China

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

$527k Vol.
$0 Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months

No

Canada recession in 2025?

Canada recession in 2025?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11

No

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Optifye.ai pivot before April?

Optifye.ai pivot before April?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

sam altman · Grok

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will X start charging all users?

user fees · Business

Will X start charging all users?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

OpenAI · ceo

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended

No

Blast launch delayed?

Blast launch delayed?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

OpenAI · ceo

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?

Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1?

Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

How many Jobs added in February?

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?

technology · google

Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

NVIDIA

Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February?

Business · adam neumann

Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February?

warpcast · App Store

Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023?

Business · ceo

Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Coinbase a top 100 app before April?

Coinbase a top 100 app before April?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No