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Canada Predictions & Odds· 1439 markets

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W
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Politics·Canada

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

$132k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

62%

Yes

B
Bank of Canada decision in April?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Canada decision in April?

$65k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

96%

No change

A
Another Canada election called by June 30?

World·Canada

Another Canada election called by June 30?

$71k Vol.
$9k Liq.
41
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

B
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Elections·Canada

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

C
Canada recession before 2027?

Economy·Canada

Canada recession before 2027?

$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

43%

Yes

T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·Trump

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

L
Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Elections·Global Elections

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

$11 Vol.
$744 Liq.
Ended

34%

Up

B
Bank of Canada decision in June?

World·Global Rates

Bank of Canada decision in June?

$721 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

66%

No change

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

12%

Yes

1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·China

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$39k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

T
Terrebone By-Election Winner

Politics·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Terrebone By-Election Winner

$51k Vol.
$96k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days

61%

Tatiana Auguste

C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months

34%

3.0-3.4%

W
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

World·Canada

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

L
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

World·Canada

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

$142k Vol.
$14k Liq.
42
Ends in 3 months

94%

Yes

P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Politics·Pierre

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

$116k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

W
Will Alberta join the US?

Politics·Greenland

Will Alberta join the US?

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

World·Macro Indicators

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year

44%

Yes

C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

World·Canada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 year

34%

Up

Q
Quebec General Election Winner

World·World Elections

Quebec General Election Winner

$377k Vol.
$77k Liq.
47
Ends in 6 months

58%

PQ