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Canada Predictions & Odds· 1536 markets

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W
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Politics·Canada

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

$245k Vol.
$53k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 9 months

71%

Yes

B
Bank of Canada decision in April?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Canada decision in April?

$73k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

95%

No change

A
Another Canada election called by June 30?

World·Canada

Another Canada election called by June 30?

$73k Vol.
$12k Liq.
41
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

B
Bank of Canada decision in June?

World·Global Rates

Bank of Canada decision in June?

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

73%

No change

C
Canada recession before 2027?

Economy·Canada

Canada recession before 2027?

$54k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·China

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$6k Vol.
$841 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

33%

Yes

T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·Trump

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Elections·Canada

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

L
Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Elections·Global Elections

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

$11 Vol.
$8 Liq.
Ended

51%

Up

B
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

T
Terrebone By-Election Winner

Politics·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Terrebone By-Election Winner

$56k Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days

60%

Tatiana Auguste

C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months

36%

3.0-3.4%

W
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

World·Canada

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

L
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

World·Canada

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

$154k Vol.
$17k Liq.
41
Ends in 3 months

96%

Yes

P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Politics·Pierre

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

$117k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

W
Will Alberta join the US?

Politics·Greenland

Will Alberta join the US?

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

World·Canada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 year

35%

Up

W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

World·Macro Indicators

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year

44%

Yes

Q
Quebec General Election Winner

World·World Elections

Quebec General Election Winner

$381k Vol.
$80k Liq.
46
Ends in 6 months

57%

PQ