Chat Bots Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
8%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
45%
None in 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$441k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$441k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$142k today$160k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$76k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$76k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$115k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$115k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
3
Ends in about 7 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.3Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$219k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$219k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$404k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$404k Vol.$66k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
96%