Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$441 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$441 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$946 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$946 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$824 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$824 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 15 days
86%
April 15
8%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
82%
April 15
82%
December 31, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
91%
Claude by Anthropic
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.0m Vol.$113k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$128k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$70k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$70k today$52k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$163k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$163k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic